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McLaren P1

2013-20153.8L hybrid V8Hybrid hypercarVerified per report
Price my car
Current market valueUS$1,868,914From 4 sale records
12-month future valueUS$1,628,383 – US$2,191,319+0.4% base case
5-year future valueUS$1,551,524 – US$2,781,395+20.5% cumulative
Action signalHOLDBase case is range-bound at +0.4%/yr.
Confidence score
67/100
Moderate
Moderate evidence quality

Historical & forecast value (USD)

Sale evidence
HistoricalForecast (base case)Bull caseBear case
$1.3M$1.7M$2.2M$2.6M$3.1M202320242025202620272028202920302031Today$2.8M$2.1M$1.5M

Historical line built from 4 completed sales.

Why we rate it this way

Moderate confidence
Mileage sensitivityLower mileage and careful ownership records materially improve buyer confidence.
Originality and provenanceOriginal specification, factory records and clean history remain central to value.
Rarity / productionLimited supply and recognized special-series status support pricing resilience.
Maintenance confidenceRecent service, warranty position and known ownership costs affect liquidity.
Action summary
HOLD

Firm market posture

Base case remains firm for the next 12 months. The strongest examples should trade near the upper end of the range, while cars needing history clarification or service work should remain closer to the lower band.

Price a specific car

Recent sold snapshot

4 sold
4

No live inventory for this model — showing the most recent completed sales instead

Below US$1,517,25000%
Around the median4100%
Above US$2,052,75000%
Sold medianUS$1,785,000
Median mileage1,900 mi

Recent comparable sales

4 recorded
DateYearPriceMileageSource
Aug 8, 20252014US$1,877,0006,000 miBring a Trailer
Jun 20, 20252014US$1,750,0001,900 miBring a Trailer
Jun 8, 20222014US$1,820,000296 miBring a Trailer
Feb 3, 20222014US$1,710,000Not disclosedBring a Trailer

Forecast reasoning

Evidence and risks

Current value leans on 4 completed sales from all available history, indexed forward to today at +0.9%/yr because only 0 fell inside the preferred 6-month window with moderate evidence confidence. observed dated-sale momentum is +0.9% annualized, 0 active offers define current supply. The 12-month base case points sideways at +0.4% after supply, confidence and mean-reversion checks.

Risks to the forecast

  • Thin public sales records can make short-term values look more volatile than the real buyer market.
  • High-mileage, modified or unclear-history cars trade at a discount and can distort simple averages.
  • Macro pressure, financing conditions and seasonal listing volume can soften transaction ranges.

Stored forecast reasoning

For reference, this is the stored long-run thesis; the chart above is currently evidence-backed and may differ: P1 holds firm as a hybrid hypercar blue chip, though McLaren carries less brand pull than Ferrari at this level, which caps the pace of appreciation.

Completed sales4Active listings0Evidence confidence61/100Liquidity / supplyThin / UnknownCurrencyUSD

Price a specific car

4 comparables on file
Estimated valueUS$1,785,000
Typical rangeUS$1,740,000 – US$1,834,250
Comparables used4
Per 1,000 milesNot measurable

Priced from 4 comparables matching this model.

Forecast value for this car
DownsideUS$1,543,767
1Y expectedUS$1,804,180+1.1%
UpsideUS$2,108,522

Applies the model's evidence-backed forecast path to this car's US$1,785,000 value today. Scenarios, not guarantees.

YearTypeMileageColourPriceSource
2014Sold6,000 mi—US$1,877,000View
2014Sold1,900 mi—US$1,750,000View
2014Sold296 mi—US$1,820,000View
2014Sold——US$1,710,000View

MRT Strada Car Index is for informational purposes and is not investment advice. Data refreshed August 8, 2026 from supabase market.